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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.24+5.79vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.39+1.80vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.07+1.67vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.51+2.08vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.80-1.90vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.83-1.10vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97+2.91vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.23+2.56vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.35vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.42-3.75vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58+0.42vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering-0.05-4.10vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-3.64vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79University of Vermont0.245.8%1st Place
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3.8Northeastern University1.3918.8%1st Place
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4.67Northeastern University1.0712.6%1st Place
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6.08Tufts University0.517.4%1st Place
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3.1University of Rhode Island1.8024.6%1st Place
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4.9Salve Regina University0.8311.3%1st Place
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9.91University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.971.4%1st Place
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10.56University of New Hampshire-1.231.4%1st Place
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7.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.032.9%1st Place
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6.25Fairfield University0.426.9%1st Place
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11.42Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.581.1%1st Place
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7.9Olin College of Engineering-0.053.5%1st Place
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9.36University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.772.3%1st Place
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12.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Cady | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Everett Nash | 18.8% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 24.6% | 23.1% | 17.8% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 6.8% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 21.1% | 11.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Eddy | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 16.4% | 25.8% | 22.6% |
| Colin Snow | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Kate Myler | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 3.9% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 18.2% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.