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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+3.49vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.00+6.63vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.64vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+1.51vs Predicted
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53.24+3.19vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47+1.37vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.65-0.57vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.82-1.86vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan2.97+0.09vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.36-2.28vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.90-1.72vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.52-4.84vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.69-3.20vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.05-5.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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8.63Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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6.64U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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5.51St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.193.240.0%1st Place
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7.37Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.43College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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6.14Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.09University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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7.72University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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9.28University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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7.16Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.8Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.57SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 18.8% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% |
| Michael Grove | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Fletcher Sims | 10.2% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% |
| Jake Reynolds | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 13.3% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 15.3% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 21.2% |
| Nick Valente | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.