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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.83+3.99vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.80+1.08vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.39+0.83vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.42+2.32vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97+4.90vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.24+0.74vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.51-0.95vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.50vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.07-4.46vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering-0.05-2.01vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.23-0.42vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58-0.47vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37-0.39vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Salve Regina University0.8310.3%1st Place
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3.08University of Rhode Island1.8026.6%1st Place
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3.83Northeastern University1.3918.0%1st Place
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6.32Fairfield University0.426.3%1st Place
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9.9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.971.6%1st Place
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6.74University of Vermont0.245.9%1st Place
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6.05Tufts University0.516.3%1st Place
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7.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.034.6%1st Place
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4.54Northeastern University1.0712.8%1st Place
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7.99Olin College of Engineering-0.053.8%1st Place
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10.58University of New Hampshire-1.231.2%1st Place
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11.53Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.580.6%1st Place
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12.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.4%1st Place
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9.33University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.771.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearl Lattanzi | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 26.6% | 21.6% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Nash | 18.0% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 6.9% |
| Jack Cady | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 12.8% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 20.1% | 10.2% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 16.8% | 25.7% | 22.9% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 17.4% | 54.2% |
| Kate Myler | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.