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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.65+5.66vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.97+6.76vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.36+1.47vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.90+5.19vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.82+1.26vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-0.44vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.52-0.12vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.00+0.82vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.05-0.16vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.47-2.58vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.26vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.69-2.13vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.36-5.37vs Predicted
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143.24-6.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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4.47Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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9.19University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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6.26Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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5.56St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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6.88Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.82Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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8.84SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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7.42Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.74U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.87Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.63University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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7.923.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.3% |
| Nevin Snow | 17.5% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 14.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Fletcher Sims | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 13.9% |
| Nick Valente | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.1% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| Michael Grove | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 21.2% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.