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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.39+2.85vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.07+2.54vs Predicted
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3Olin College of Engineering-0.05+5.08vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.80-0.89vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97+4.86vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.23+4.35vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.42-0.73vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.83-2.95vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.35vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.24-3.22vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58+0.51vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.51-5.94vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-3.63vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Northeastern University1.3918.3%1st Place
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4.54Northeastern University1.0713.0%1st Place
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8.08Olin College of Engineering-0.053.2%1st Place
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3.11University of Rhode Island1.8025.2%1st Place
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9.86University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.972.2%1st Place
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10.35University of New Hampshire-1.231.4%1st Place
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6.27Fairfield University0.426.6%1st Place
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5.05Salve Regina University0.8311.2%1st Place
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7.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.033.1%1st Place
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6.78University of Vermont0.245.2%1st Place
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11.51Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.581.1%1st Place
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6.06Tufts University0.517.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.772.2%1st Place
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12.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 18.3% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 13.0% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Declan Botwinick | 25.2% | 22.4% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 6.9% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 19.9% | 10.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 11.2% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Jack Cady | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jack Eddy | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 26.5% | 23.4% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kate Myler | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 4.2% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 16.7% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.