← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University4.36+3.51vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.65+4.45vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+2.47vs Predicted
-
4Boston University3.00+4.92vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin3.36+2.77vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida2.90+3.34vs Predicted
-
7University of Michigan2.97+1.73vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University3.82-1.89vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College3.52-1.81vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy3.67-3.27vs Predicted
-
113.24-2.85vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College3.05-3.30vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University3.47-5.78vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College2.69-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.51Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
-
6.45College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
-
5.47St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
-
8.92Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
-
7.77University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
-
9.34University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
-
8.73University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
-
6.11Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
7.19Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
-
6.73U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
8.153.240.1%1st Place
-
8.7SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
-
7.22Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
9.72Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 16.7% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Fletcher Sims | 11.0% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Fraser | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 13.5% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 13.5% | 16.5% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Michael Grove | 8.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% |
| Nick Valente | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 12.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.