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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+3.50vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+3.86vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.00+5.86vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+1.51vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.65+1.89vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.52+1.26vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.36-0.37vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.47-1.61vs Predicted
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103.24-1.79vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.05-2.27vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.90-2.81vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.69-3.25vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.97-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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5.86Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.86Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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5.51St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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6.89College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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7.26Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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6.37U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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7.39Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.213.240.1%1st Place
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8.73SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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9.19University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.75Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.85University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 16.7% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 11.5% |
| Fletcher Sims | 10.1% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Jake Reynolds | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Michael Grove | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 6.7% |
| Nick Valente | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.5% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 16.2% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 21.4% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.