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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+2.18vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.07+2.63vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.39+0.91vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97+5.95vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+3.00vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.24+0.83vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.96-1.98vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering-0.05+0.25vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.23+1.45vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58+1.49vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.97-6.05vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.42-5.61vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37-0.42vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18University of Rhode Island1.8023.5%1st Place
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4.63Northeastern University1.0712.7%1st Place
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3.91Northeastern University1.3917.9%1st Place
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9.95University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.971.3%1st Place
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8.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.154.0%1st Place
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6.83University of Vermont0.245.5%1st Place
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5.02Tufts University0.9610.5%1st Place
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8.25Olin College of Engineering-0.052.9%1st Place
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10.45University of New Hampshire-1.231.2%1st Place
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11.49Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.580.8%1st Place
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4.95Salve Regina University0.9712.0%1st Place
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6.39Fairfield University0.425.8%1st Place
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12.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.4%1st Place
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9.38University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.771.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 23.5% | 22.4% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 12.7% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Everett Nash | 17.9% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 7.7% |
| John Divelbiss | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Jack Cady | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Marina Garrido | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 19.8% | 18.8% | 10.2% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 17.0% | 28.2% | 21.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 12.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 18.0% | 53.6% |
| Kate Myler | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.