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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+6.68vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.98+5.29vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.87+9.08vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.31+6.18vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+5.21vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.70vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.17-0.41vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+1.41vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.95+6.16vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.29+4.18vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.36-1.07vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.00-0.17vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.56-4.21vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-4.44vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University4.31-8.95vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-7.43vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.67-4.21vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.58-9.20vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College2.47-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.29Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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12.08University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
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10.21Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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7.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.59Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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15.16University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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14.18Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.93Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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11.83SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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8.79Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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6.05Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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12.79Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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13.22Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Colin Smith | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 6.8% |
| Leif Evensen | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 8.5% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| John Stokes | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Christina Johns | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 33.9% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 16.4% | 19.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Ted Green | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Sean Bouchard | 13.7% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Max Rollins | 2.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 10.3% |
| Edward Glackin | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Amy Baxter | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.