Race 1B

2024-florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sara Menesale 15.3% 14.4% 13.7% 13.0% 13.0% 9.8% 8.9% 5.5% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5%
Joshua Knowles 26.2% 21.2% 17.6% 13.1% 8.6% 6.5% 3.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Mason Mattice 11.8% 13.3% 12.7% 13.4% 11.8% 11.2% 9.7% 7.3% 5.7% 2.5% 0.7%
Jack Adderley 7.9% 8.7% 9.5% 9.0% 10.8% 11.7% 11.8% 12.9% 8.8% 6.5% 2.4%
KA Hamner 7.5% 9.0% 8.9% 10.2% 9.7% 11.6% 11.5% 11.9% 9.8% 6.7% 3.4%
Christopher McCollum 11.4% 10.8% 11.2% 12.1% 12.2% 12.2% 11.2% 9.2% 5.6% 3.0% 1.1%
Blake March 8.1% 9.2% 9.8% 10.5% 11.2% 11.9% 11.7% 10.3% 8.6% 5.9% 2.9%
Kallista Halatsis 2.8% 3.5% 3.9% 5.3% 6.1% 6.5% 7.8% 9.4% 12.7% 20.4% 21.7%
Suhas Medidi 3.1% 3.3% 3.6% 4.8% 5.5% 6.9% 8.0% 10.8% 15.0% 17.7% 21.4%
Nathan Hjort 2.5% 2.2% 3.8% 3.3% 5.1% 4.5% 7.8% 8.6% 14.0% 18.4% 29.7%
Rori Bywater 3.4% 4.3% 5.1% 5.3% 6.0% 7.5% 8.2% 11.7% 15.1% 17.0% 16.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.