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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.39+2.95vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.42+4.38vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.80+0.19vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.07+0.66vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.970.00vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.96-1.01vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58+4.46vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.23+2.53vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97+0.98vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering-0.05-2.03vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.24-4.08vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-4.10vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-3.47vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95Northeastern University1.3915.8%1st Place
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6.38Fairfield University0.426.6%1st Place
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3.19University of Rhode Island1.8025.4%1st Place
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4.66Northeastern University1.0711.7%1st Place
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5.0Salve Regina University0.9710.4%1st Place
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4.99Tufts University0.9611.5%1st Place
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11.46Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.581.0%1st Place
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10.53University of New Hampshire-1.231.2%1st Place
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9.98University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.971.1%1st Place
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7.97Olin College of Engineering-0.054.0%1st Place
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6.92University of Vermont0.245.9%1st Place
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7.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.153.1%1st Place
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9.53University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.772.0%1st Place
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12.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 15.8% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 25.4% | 20.4% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 11.7% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Eddy | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 17.0% | 25.1% | 23.2% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 19.5% | 19.4% | 11.0% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 6.4% |
| Colin Snow | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Jack Cady | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Kate Myler | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 4.5% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 17.9% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.