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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.39+2.94vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-1.23+8.47vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.80+0.20vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.83+1.06vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.07-0.37vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.96-1.08vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering-0.05+1.12vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.24-1.05vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.42-2.69vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-0.06vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-1.47vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-3.93vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37-0.54vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94Northeastern University1.3918.1%1st Place
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10.47University of New Hampshire-1.231.4%1st Place
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3.2University of Rhode Island1.8025.7%1st Place
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5.06Salve Regina University0.8310.0%1st Place
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4.63Northeastern University1.0711.9%1st Place
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4.92Tufts University0.9610.8%1st Place
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8.12Olin College of Engineering-0.052.8%1st Place
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6.95University of Vermont0.244.5%1st Place
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6.31Fairfield University0.426.5%1st Place
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9.94University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.971.8%1st Place
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9.53University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.772.0%1st Place
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8.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.153.1%1st Place
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12.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.8%1st Place
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11.41Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.580.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 18.1% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 17.6% | 20.2% | 10.8% |
| Declan Botwinick | 25.7% | 20.1% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 11.9% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Jack Cady | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 18.4% | 14.9% | 6.4% |
| Kate Myler | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 4.8% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 17.0% | 53.9% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 25.4% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.