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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+5.03vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+2.33vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.65+3.73vs Predicted
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43.24+4.13vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.36+2.75vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.05+2.83vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.64vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.47-0.70vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.52-1.77vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.69-0.03vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.00-2.07vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-6.53vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.90-3.91vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.97-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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4.33Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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6.73College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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8.133.240.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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8.83SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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6.36U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.3Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.23Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.97Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.93Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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5.47St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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9.09University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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8.85University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Nevin Snow | 18.1% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Jake Reynolds | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% |
| Nick Valente | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.3% |
| Michael Grove | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 22.4% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 12.4% |
| Fletcher Sims | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 14.1% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.