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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.39+2.79vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.80+1.15vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.83+2.01vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.96+0.92vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.07-0.39vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97+3.87vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.42-0.48vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37+4.59vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.24-2.18vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-1.98vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering-0.05-2.77vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58-0.48vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.23-2.55vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79Northeastern University1.3918.0%1st Place
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3.15University of Rhode Island1.8024.2%1st Place
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5.01Salve Regina University0.8311.2%1st Place
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4.92Tufts University0.9611.8%1st Place
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4.61Northeastern University1.0713.7%1st Place
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9.87University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.971.6%1st Place
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6.52Fairfield University0.424.8%1st Place
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12.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.5%1st Place
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6.82University of Vermont0.244.7%1st Place
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8.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.152.9%1st Place
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8.23Olin College of Engineering-0.052.7%1st Place
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11.52Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.580.8%1st Place
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10.45University of New Hampshire-1.231.5%1st Place
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9.5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.771.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 18.0% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 24.2% | 21.1% | 17.8% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 13.7% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 6.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 18.7% | 53.2% |
| Jack Cady | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| John Divelbiss | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Colin Snow | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 26.1% | 22.9% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 10.8% |
| Kate Myler | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.