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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+3.46vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.40vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.52+4.15vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.05+4.75vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.82+1.31vs Predicted
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63.24+2.22vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.65-0.59vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.36-0.41vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.47-1.64vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.90-0.66vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan2.97-1.99vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.69-2.10vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.00-4.23vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-8.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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6.4U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.15Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.75SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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6.31Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.223.240.0%1st Place
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6.41College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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7.59University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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7.36Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.34University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.01University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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9.9Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.77Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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5.3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 17.7% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Grove | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Nick Valente | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 10.8% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% |
| Jake Reynolds | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 15.4% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 13.6% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 21.5% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 10.6% |
| Fletcher Sims | 11.9% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.