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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.07+3.59vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.80+1.18vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+5.07vs Predicted
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4Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58+7.43vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.39-1.07vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97+4.07vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.83-2.00vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.42-1.63vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+0.49vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.96-5.05vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.24-4.20vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.23-1.54vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering-0.05-4.87vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Northeastern University1.0713.1%1st Place
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3.18University of Rhode Island1.8025.6%1st Place
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8.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.153.6%1st Place
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11.43Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.580.9%1st Place
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3.93Northeastern University1.3915.7%1st Place
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10.07University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.971.1%1st Place
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5.0Salve Regina University0.8310.5%1st Place
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6.37Fairfield University0.425.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.772.0%1st Place
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4.95Tufts University0.9611.4%1st Place
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6.8University of Vermont0.245.4%1st Place
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10.46University of New Hampshire-1.231.6%1st Place
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8.13Olin College of Engineering-0.053.8%1st Place
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12.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dillon | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 25.6% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 25.9% | 22.4% |
| Everett Nash | 15.7% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 7.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kate Myler | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 4.6% |
| Marina Garrido | 11.4% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cady | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 19.7% | 9.4% |
| Colin Snow | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 17.0% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.