← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University1.07+3.61vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University1.39+1.84vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University0.83+2.17vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University0.96+0.93vs Predicted
-
5Olin College of Engineering-0.05+3.13vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island1.80-2.76vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97+2.91vs Predicted
-
8Fairfield University0.42-1.59vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont0.24-2.22vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-2.10vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37+1.54vs Predicted
-
12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58-0.49vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire-1.23-2.44vs Predicted
-
14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.61Northeastern University1.0712.4%1st Place
-
3.84Northeastern University1.3917.1%1st Place
-
5.17Salve Regina University0.839.9%1st Place
-
4.93Tufts University0.9612.2%1st Place
-
8.13Olin College of Engineering-0.053.1%1st Place
-
3.24University of Rhode Island1.8024.9%1st Place
-
9.91University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.972.0%1st Place
-
6.41Fairfield University0.425.7%1st Place
-
6.78University of Vermont0.245.9%1st Place
-
7.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.153.2%1st Place
-
12.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.5%1st Place
-
11.51Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.580.4%1st Place
-
10.56University of New Hampshire-1.231.1%1st Place
-
9.48University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.771.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dillon | 12.4% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Nash | 17.1% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Declan Botwinick | 24.9% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 6.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Cady | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 17.9% | 53.1% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 25.4% | 23.6% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 19.8% | 10.1% |
| Kate Myler | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 11.9% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.