Race 2B

truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mary Hall 13.1% 11.3% 12.9% 9.8% 10.1% 8.3% 7.8% 6.6% 5.5% 3.7% 4.3% 3.3% 2.6% 0.7%
Edmund Cooper 5.7% 7.0% 7.3% 6.4% 4.7% 6.3% 7.2% 7.5% 7.7% 9.6% 8.6% 9.3% 6.4% 6.3%
Alex Post 10.2% 10.5% 7.5% 10.4% 8.4% 9.1% 7.5% 7.4% 7.2% 7.5% 5.3% 4.3% 3.2% 1.5%
MaryClaire Kiernan 4.2% 5.3% 6.5% 5.7% 6.6% 8.1% 6.2% 5.9% 8.2% 8.0% 7.4% 10.2% 9.5% 8.2%
Kaylee Schwitzer 3.1% 3.9% 4.7% 4.6% 4.7% 5.9% 5.0% 5.6% 6.4% 6.6% 9.8% 9.3% 14.2% 16.2%
Ryan Seago 6.1% 5.0% 6.6% 5.4% 6.5% 7.0% 8.0% 8.8% 7.3% 8.1% 7.2% 8.5% 8.9% 6.6%
Michael Lee 7.7% 8.0% 7.4% 7.7% 9.2% 6.6% 9.0% 6.5% 7.0% 8.3% 7.7% 6.6% 4.8% 3.5%
Elliott Morrill 8.4% 8.2% 9.3% 8.6% 6.7% 8.2% 7.7% 8.0% 6.1% 7.6% 6.5% 5.8% 4.8% 4.1%
Robert Savoie 5.6% 3.0% 4.3% 5.5% 5.7% 5.0% 6.4% 7.5% 8.6% 7.6% 10.6% 9.8% 9.6% 10.8%
Ryan Davidson 10.9% 11.1% 12.0% 10.4% 10.6% 7.6% 7.6% 8.2% 6.6% 5.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.9% 1.0%
Julia Paxton 3.9% 4.1% 3.4% 4.0% 6.6% 5.1% 5.5% 6.8% 6.7% 7.2% 9.5% 10.4% 12.0% 14.8%
Colleen Hartman 3.4% 3.1% 3.1% 4.6% 4.1% 6.3% 5.1% 6.6% 7.6% 7.6% 8.0% 9.6% 12.6% 18.3%
Andrea Luna 5.9% 6.1% 5.6% 6.5% 5.3% 7.7% 9.6% 7.3% 8.3% 6.9% 7.2% 7.8% 8.0% 7.8%
Ryan Astwood 11.8% 13.4% 9.4% 10.4% 10.8% 8.8% 7.4% 7.3% 6.8% 5.5% 4.1% 2.6% 1.5% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.