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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.86+5.68vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.82+4.73vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.03+3.09vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.18+1.38vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.36+3.41vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.30+2.14vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.33+1.44vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.05+1.26vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.59-1.79vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.05-0.35vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.21-1.89vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.58-4.65vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.12-6.77vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.39-5.89vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.46-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Roger Williams University1.8610.0%1st Place
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6.73Brown University1.828.1%1st Place
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6.09Bowdoin College2.0310.3%1st Place
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5.38Yale University2.1813.3%1st Place
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8.41Boston College1.365.3%1st Place
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8.14Tufts University1.305.5%1st Place
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8.44Brown University1.335.8%1st Place
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9.26University of Vermont1.054.2%1st Place
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7.21University of Rhode Island1.597.2%1st Place
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9.65Northeastern University1.053.9%1st Place
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9.11Salve Regina University1.214.4%1st Place
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7.35Boston College1.586.5%1st Place
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6.23Harvard University2.129.3%1st Place
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8.11Boston University1.395.5%1st Place
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13.2Bentley University-0.460.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Gridley | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Styron | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Mateo Farina | 13.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 4.2% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 3.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 6.2% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 8.3% |
| Peter Cronin | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 5.9% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 60.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.