Race 3B

truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Elliott Morrill 7.2% 8.7% 9.9% 9.1% 7.1% 8.8% 7.7% 6.8% 8.2% 7.7% 5.0% 6.0% 4.7% 3.1%
Ryan Davidson 13.5% 12.0% 10.9% 10.3% 10.5% 8.5% 9.2% 7.8% 5.1% 4.5% 3.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7%
Alex Post 10.4% 10.0% 9.5% 8.8% 8.5% 7.6% 8.6% 8.2% 6.4% 6.8% 5.9% 4.5% 3.2% 1.6%
Ryan Astwood 10.4% 12.1% 11.4% 10.5% 9.6% 8.2% 7.8% 7.5% 6.1% 6.0% 4.5% 2.6% 2.5% 0.8%
Andrea Luna 4.5% 5.4% 6.1% 7.1% 6.6% 6.9% 6.4% 7.6% 7.9% 7.3% 9.0% 9.3% 8.9% 7.0%
Mary Hall 12.3% 10.7% 11.5% 10.1% 9.6% 7.6% 9.1% 7.0% 6.5% 5.2% 3.9% 3.6% 2.2% 0.7%
Edmund Cooper 6.5% 7.5% 5.5% 6.3% 6.3% 6.5% 8.4% 7.5% 7.5% 7.9% 8.3% 6.8% 7.8% 7.2%
Michael Lee 7.8% 7.8% 7.4% 6.8% 7.9% 7.2% 6.9% 7.9% 7.5% 5.7% 7.6% 8.0% 7.4% 4.1%
MaryClaire Kiernan 5.7% 4.6% 5.4% 5.2% 5.1% 6.3% 7.1% 9.0% 7.8% 9.1% 8.4% 9.6% 9.2% 7.5%
Robert Savoie 4.6% 4.1% 4.8% 4.6% 6.5% 7.4% 5.4% 7.2% 7.5% 7.2% 9.6% 8.5% 10.2% 12.4%
Kaylee Schwitzer 3.9% 3.4% 3.4% 4.5% 5.0% 6.0% 5.7% 5.2% 6.5% 8.2% 8.8% 11.6% 11.0% 16.8%
Ryan Seago 5.8% 5.7% 5.1% 7.0% 7.8% 7.5% 6.8% 7.8% 9.8% 7.7% 6.7% 7.3% 7.3% 7.7%
Colleen Hartman 3.8% 3.7% 4.4% 4.2% 4.4% 5.4% 4.7% 5.7% 7.2% 7.7% 9.3% 9.2% 12.4% 17.9%
Julia Paxton 3.6% 4.3% 4.7% 5.5% 5.1% 6.1% 6.2% 4.8% 6.0% 9.0% 10.0% 10.5% 11.7% 12.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.