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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.86+5.46vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.18+3.53vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.59+4.24vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.30+4.03vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.39+2.96vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.58+1.48vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.33+1.40vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.36+0.61vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.82-2.29vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.12-3.61vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.05-1.80vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.05-2.47vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-6.92vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.21-4.95vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.46-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Roger Williams University1.869.3%1st Place
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5.53Yale University2.1811.0%1st Place
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7.24University of Rhode Island1.597.0%1st Place
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8.03Tufts University1.306.0%1st Place
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7.96Boston University1.396.3%1st Place
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7.48Boston College1.587.1%1st Place
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8.4Brown University1.335.1%1st Place
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8.61Boston College1.365.1%1st Place
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6.71Brown University1.828.6%1st Place
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6.39Harvard University2.129.3%1st Place
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9.2University of Vermont1.054.8%1st Place
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9.53Northeastern University1.054.3%1st Place
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6.08Bowdoin College2.0311.2%1st Place
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9.05Salve Regina University1.213.8%1st Place
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13.33Bentley University-0.461.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Gridley | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Mateo Farina | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 2.9% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 3.4% |
| Thomas Styron | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 6.3% |
| Matt Hersey | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 7.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Peter Cronin | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 5.7% |
| Dane Phippen | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 61.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.