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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.82+5.72vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.86+4.75vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.18+2.55vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.59+3.41vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.58+2.49vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.39+1.91vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.36+1.39vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.05+1.64vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.30-0.98vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.33-1.69vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.21-1.88vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.12-5.77vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.05-3.75vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.03-7.99vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.46-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Brown University1.829.0%1st Place
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6.75Roger Williams University1.868.6%1st Place
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5.55Yale University2.1812.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Rhode Island1.596.5%1st Place
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7.49Boston College1.588.5%1st Place
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7.91Boston University1.396.0%1st Place
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8.39Boston College1.365.3%1st Place
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9.64Northeastern University1.053.6%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University1.305.9%1st Place
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8.31Brown University1.335.3%1st Place
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9.12Salve Regina University1.214.3%1st Place
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6.23Harvard University2.129.6%1st Place
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9.25University of Vermont1.053.5%1st Place
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6.01Bowdoin College2.0310.8%1st Place
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13.2Bentley University-0.460.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Styron | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Grant Gridley | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Mateo Farina | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Libby Redmond | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.1% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 7.8% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 3.9% |
| Peter Cronin | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 5.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 5.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.