Race 5B

truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ryan Davidson 12.0% 12.4% 12.0% 10.1% 10.6% 8.1% 7.1% 6.4% 6.2% 4.4% 3.6% 3.3% 2.7% 1.1%
Alex Post 10.7% 10.8% 8.9% 9.8% 9.4% 8.3% 8.3% 8.3% 6.2% 6.6% 5.3% 3.7% 2.4% 1.3%
Elliott Morrill 7.8% 9.1% 8.1% 7.7% 7.3% 7.8% 9.2% 8.0% 6.5% 7.6% 7.4% 5.9% 5.0% 2.6%
Colleen Hartman 2.8% 3.9% 4.0% 4.2% 4.5% 6.3% 5.3% 5.6% 5.8% 7.4% 8.6% 11.1% 12.1% 18.4%
Edmund Cooper 4.8% 5.9% 5.5% 6.4% 6.4% 7.3% 6.4% 7.3% 6.9% 7.4% 9.6% 9.7% 8.2% 8.2%
Mary Hall 12.2% 9.5% 13.0% 9.6% 10.2% 8.0% 7.1% 8.2% 5.7% 5.8% 4.4% 3.1% 2.3% 0.9%
Ryan Seago 6.2% 7.6% 7.1% 7.3% 4.5% 9.1% 7.1% 7.6% 8.4% 7.9% 7.6% 6.6% 7.2% 5.8%
Andrea Luna 6.6% 6.4% 5.4% 7.1% 6.8% 5.4% 6.6% 6.9% 8.7% 9.2% 7.3% 7.6% 8.4% 7.6%
Robert Savoie 5.2% 3.7% 4.3% 5.3% 5.2% 5.1% 6.7% 7.7% 8.5% 8.9% 8.8% 10.5% 10.3% 9.8%
Julia Paxton 4.2% 3.0% 3.9% 4.7% 5.5% 5.3% 6.4% 5.6% 8.6% 6.3% 9.4% 10.1% 11.4% 15.6%
Ryan Astwood 12.6% 9.3% 11.1% 11.5% 9.1% 8.5% 8.0% 6.6% 5.9% 6.1% 4.3% 3.5% 2.4% 1.1%
MaryClaire Kiernan 5.0% 5.1% 5.9% 4.9% 7.3% 7.1% 7.2% 7.4% 8.3% 9.2% 7.5% 6.0% 9.2% 9.9%
Michael Lee 6.9% 8.5% 6.7% 6.5% 7.6% 8.0% 8.7% 9.0% 7.9% 5.7% 6.5% 7.9% 6.0% 4.1%
Kaylee Schwitzer 3.0% 4.8% 4.1% 4.9% 5.6% 5.7% 5.9% 5.4% 6.4% 7.5% 9.7% 11.0% 12.4% 13.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.