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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.59+6.30vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.82+4.58vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.18+2.44vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.36+4.40vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.21+4.08vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.39+2.12vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.30+1.05vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.33+0.38vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.12-2.75vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.03-3.89vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.58-3.55vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86-5.04vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.05-3.41vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.05-4.97vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.46-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3University of Rhode Island1.597.1%1st Place
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6.58Brown University1.829.2%1st Place
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5.44Yale University2.1813.9%1st Place
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8.4Boston College1.365.7%1st Place
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9.08Salve Regina University1.213.8%1st Place
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8.12Boston University1.396.0%1st Place
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8.05Tufts University1.304.9%1st Place
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8.38Brown University1.335.2%1st Place
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6.25Harvard University2.1210.8%1st Place
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6.11Bowdoin College2.0310.1%1st Place
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7.45Boston College1.586.2%1st Place
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6.96Roger Williams University1.868.3%1st Place
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9.59Northeastern University1.053.5%1st Place
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9.03University of Vermont1.054.9%1st Place
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13.25Bentley University-0.460.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rosenberg | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Thomas Styron | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Mateo Farina | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Peter Cronin | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 5.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 3.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 10.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Grant Gridley | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 9.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 5.8% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 59.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.