Race 7B

truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mary Hall 13.1% 12.3% 11.1% 11.1% 8.8% 8.6% 7.4% 7.7% 5.4% 4.6% 3.0% 3.8% 2.1% 1.0%
Edmund Cooper 5.9% 7.5% 7.0% 5.5% 7.0% 5.8% 6.7% 6.6% 9.0% 7.7% 9.3% 8.5% 7.5% 6.0%
MaryClaire Kiernan 5.7% 4.9% 6.6% 6.4% 6.0% 6.0% 5.8% 6.2% 8.6% 8.9% 8.0% 8.6% 10.4% 7.9%
Michael Lee 5.8% 7.8% 6.5% 9.0% 7.2% 7.5% 8.9% 7.0% 8.2% 7.4% 6.6% 8.3% 4.9% 4.9%
Alex Post 8.8% 8.5% 10.7% 9.8% 7.7% 7.8% 9.2% 8.6% 7.3% 5.4% 6.1% 4.2% 3.2% 2.7%
Ryan Astwood 11.1% 11.2% 10.2% 10.5% 10.0% 9.8% 7.5% 7.0% 6.1% 5.3% 4.3% 3.3% 2.7% 1.0%
Andrea Luna 6.2% 7.7% 6.4% 5.8% 6.9% 8.3% 6.8% 6.7% 8.2% 8.3% 6.2% 8.7% 7.2% 6.6%
Elliott Morrill 8.8% 8.5% 8.4% 7.4% 8.9% 6.3% 8.9% 7.9% 6.3% 7.3% 7.2% 5.3% 4.5% 4.3%
Ryan Seago 6.9% 4.8% 4.6% 6.2% 7.1% 6.8% 8.5% 8.8% 7.0% 8.1% 8.7% 8.0% 7.9% 6.6%
Ryan Davidson 11.2% 10.7% 11.8% 11.2% 8.1% 9.5% 7.4% 8.2% 6.7% 5.2% 4.9% 2.1% 1.9% 1.1%
Robert Savoie 4.7% 4.6% 4.7% 4.0% 5.5% 8.6% 5.6% 6.4% 7.1% 8.9% 9.3% 8.5% 10.1% 12.0%
Julia Paxton 4.1% 3.9% 3.1% 4.0% 6.8% 5.3% 5.7% 6.5% 8.4% 7.9% 9.0% 9.3% 10.2% 15.8%
Kaylee Schwitzer 4.1% 3.7% 5.0% 4.4% 4.8% 3.9% 6.4% 8.0% 6.1% 7.8% 8.0% 8.9% 13.6% 15.3%
Colleen Hartman 3.6% 3.9% 3.9% 4.7% 5.2% 5.8% 5.2% 4.4% 5.6% 7.2% 9.4% 12.5% 13.8% 14.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.