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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.82+5.67vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.39+5.92vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.36+5.57vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.59+3.30vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.33+3.45vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.30+1.85vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.18-1.53vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.86-1.42vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.12-2.70vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.21-0.97vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.05-1.67vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.58-4.52vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.05-3.19vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.03-8.07vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.46-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Brown University1.828.9%1st Place
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7.92Boston University1.396.4%1st Place
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8.57Boston College1.365.1%1st Place
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7.3University of Rhode Island1.596.7%1st Place
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8.45Brown University1.335.0%1st Place
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7.85Tufts University1.305.9%1st Place
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5.47Yale University2.1812.2%1st Place
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6.58Roger Williams University1.869.7%1st Place
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6.3Harvard University2.1210.3%1st Place
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9.03Salve Regina University1.214.3%1st Place
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9.33University of Vermont1.053.8%1st Place
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7.48Boston College1.586.4%1st Place
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9.81Northeastern University1.053.0%1st Place
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5.93Bowdoin College2.0311.3%1st Place
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13.31Bentley University-0.461.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Styron | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Noah Robitshek | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Mateo Farina | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Grant Gridley | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Peter Cronin | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 5.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 6.7% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 8.7% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Dane Phippen | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.