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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.32+3.73vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.09+1.02vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.11+2.73vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.06+1.82vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.45-0.58vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-0.85+1.52vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.21-2.02vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.01-2.51vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-1.00-1.02vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.02-2.04vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73Jacksonville University0.3211.7%1st Place
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3.02Jacksonville University1.0927.8%1st Place
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5.73Rollins College-0.118.2%1st Place
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5.82Rollins College-0.067.5%1st Place
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4.42University of South Florida0.4513.2%1st Place
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7.52Jacksonville University-0.853.8%1st Place
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4.98University of Miami0.2111.1%1st Place
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5.49University of South Florida0.018.6%1st Place
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7.98Florida State University-1.002.4%1st Place
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7.96Embry-Riddle University-1.023.0%1st Place
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8.35Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.112.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Mattice | 11.7% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Knowles | 27.8% | 21.2% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Adderley | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| KA Hamner | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Sara Menesale | 13.2% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Rori Bywater | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 17.1% |
| Christopher McCollum | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Blake March | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 20.9% |
| Suhas Medidi | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 21.7% |
| Nathan Hjort | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.