← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University1.39+7.05vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University1.05+7.55vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.12+3.23vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.86+2.76vs Predicted
-
5Boston College1.36+3.42vs Predicted
-
6Boston College1.58+1.60vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.18-1.63vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont1.05+1.33vs Predicted
-
9Brown University1.82-2.22vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.30-1.99vs Predicted
-
11Brown University1.33-2.73vs Predicted
-
12Bentley University-0.46+1.26vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island1.59-5.78vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University1.21-4.93vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College2.03-8.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.05Boston University1.395.2%1st Place
-
9.55Northeastern University1.053.5%1st Place
-
6.23Harvard University2.129.7%1st Place
-
6.76Roger Williams University1.868.4%1st Place
-
8.42Boston College1.365.1%1st Place
-
7.6Boston College1.587.4%1st Place
-
5.37Yale University2.1814.2%1st Place
-
9.33University of Vermont1.054.2%1st Place
-
6.78Brown University1.828.5%1st Place
-
8.01Tufts University1.305.5%1st Place
-
8.27Brown University1.335.7%1st Place
-
13.26Bentley University-0.460.9%1st Place
-
7.22University of Rhode Island1.596.3%1st Place
-
9.07Salve Regina University1.214.5%1st Place
-
6.08Bowdoin College2.0310.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Robitshek | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 7.5% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Grant Gridley | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Mateo Farina | 14.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 7.1% |
| Thomas Styron | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 11.6% | 60.4% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Peter Cronin | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 5.6% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.