Race 8A

george-warren-smith

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Ben Rosenberg 6.7% 7.8% 7.1% 6.8% 7.8% 7.3% 8.8% 7.5% 6.2% 6.5% 8.3% 6.8% 6.3% 4.6% 1.4%
Patrick Mulcahy 5.8% 5.5% 5.7% 6.6% 7.0% 7.2% 5.3% 8.1% 8.2% 8.5% 7.1% 8.6% 7.5% 6.2% 2.8%
Dylan Ascencios 9.8% 9.3% 9.2% 9.7% 9.3% 8.8% 8.5% 7.0% 5.9% 6.3% 5.7% 4.8% 3.2% 1.7% 0.8%
Sara Schumann 6.3% 5.5% 5.7% 6.8% 6.5% 5.4% 6.3% 6.6% 7.8% 7.3% 8.0% 7.1% 8.2% 9.1% 3.7%
Mateo Farina 11.8% 12.4% 11.2% 9.3% 9.0% 9.1% 8.5% 6.7% 6.9% 5.3% 3.5% 2.9% 2.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Noah Robitshek 5.4% 6.5% 6.2% 6.6% 6.8% 6.4% 6.8% 7.0% 7.3% 7.8% 8.2% 7.4% 8.1% 6.9% 2.8%
Thomas Styron 8.6% 7.6% 8.9% 7.4% 8.2% 8.3% 7.2% 8.0% 7.3% 6.5% 7.4% 5.7% 4.5% 3.1% 1.0%
Grant Gridley 9.3% 8.7% 9.8% 8.2% 7.1% 8.0% 7.4% 7.6% 7.0% 5.8% 6.5% 5.9% 4.6% 3.1% 1.0%
Thibault Antonietti 10.4% 11.5% 9.6% 9.4% 9.4% 7.0% 8.6% 8.3% 6.3% 5.8% 4.4% 3.9% 2.9% 2.3% 0.3%
Calvin Lamosse 4.1% 4.3% 4.5% 5.3% 4.1% 6.5% 5.7% 6.0% 6.9% 7.4% 7.7% 9.6% 10.0% 11.9% 6.2%
Dane Phippen 1.5% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 1.5% 1.9% 1.7% 2.0% 3.3% 3.9% 5.8% 10.9% 61.8%
Peter Cronin 4.2% 3.5% 5.5% 4.8% 5.9% 5.9% 5.8% 5.9% 7.0% 8.0% 7.5% 9.3% 10.7% 11.2% 4.8%
Libby Redmond 6.9% 6.3% 7.1% 7.4% 7.4% 8.0% 7.1% 7.3% 7.8% 8.4% 7.0% 6.7% 6.2% 4.9% 1.5%
Matt Hersey 3.4% 4.2% 3.8% 4.5% 4.6% 4.5% 5.8% 5.9% 6.8% 6.9% 6.4% 9.1% 11.1% 14.3% 8.8%
Charlotte Costikyan 5.6% 5.8% 5.0% 6.2% 5.7% 6.2% 7.0% 6.1% 7.0% 7.6% 8.9% 8.3% 8.7% 8.7% 3.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.