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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.59+6.25vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.39+6.00vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.30+4.93vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.82+2.78vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.33+3.31vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.21+3.19vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.03-1.00vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.05+1.17vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.18-3.50vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.12-3.57vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.58-3.26vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86-5.35vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.05-3.50vs Predicted
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14Boston College1.36-5.61vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.46-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25University of Rhode Island1.598.3%1st Place
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8.0Boston University1.395.3%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University1.307.0%1st Place
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6.78Brown University1.828.1%1st Place
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8.31Brown University1.336.8%1st Place
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9.19Salve Regina University1.214.5%1st Place
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6.0Bowdoin College2.0310.2%1st Place
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9.17University of Vermont1.054.1%1st Place
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5.5Yale University2.1812.7%1st Place
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6.43Harvard University2.1210.4%1st Place
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7.74Boston College1.585.4%1st Place
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6.65Roger Williams University1.868.1%1st Place
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9.5Northeastern University1.053.4%1st Place
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8.39Boston College1.364.5%1st Place
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13.16Bentley University-0.461.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rosenberg | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Styron | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Peter Cronin | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 5.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 6.2% |
| Mateo Farina | 12.7% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Grant Gridley | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 7.6% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Dane Phippen | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 11.5% | 59.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.