Race 11B

truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ryan Seago 5.6% 5.4% 7.6% 7.6% 6.6% 6.9% 7.6% 7.7% 7.7% 7.4% 8.8% 6.7% 7.0% 7.4%
Alex Post 11.3% 9.9% 10.4% 8.1% 9.1% 9.6% 7.2% 8.4% 7.8% 6.9% 3.2% 3.8% 2.6% 1.7%
Edmund Cooper 5.6% 6.2% 6.3% 6.6% 5.5% 4.7% 7.4% 7.0% 7.2% 9.4% 9.0% 7.4% 9.6% 8.1%
Ryan Astwood 11.0% 11.6% 10.7% 10.6% 9.5% 9.7% 7.5% 7.3% 5.6% 5.1% 4.3% 3.1% 3.1% 0.9%
Ryan Davidson 9.9% 12.2% 11.2% 10.8% 10.5% 8.7% 7.2% 7.1% 6.7% 4.8% 4.7% 3.2% 1.8% 1.2%
Elliott Morrill 8.4% 7.0% 7.0% 8.8% 8.5% 9.1% 7.7% 7.6% 6.6% 6.4% 6.7% 6.8% 5.5% 3.9%
Peter Edmunds 5.7% 6.6% 7.1% 5.2% 5.8% 6.0% 7.8% 6.9% 8.7% 6.9% 8.5% 8.5% 7.7% 8.6%
Mary Hall 13.2% 12.6% 9.7% 10.1% 9.4% 9.6% 6.1% 6.8% 5.9% 6.5% 4.4% 2.6% 2.4% 0.7%
Andrea Luna 6.3% 4.5% 6.0% 4.6% 5.9% 7.1% 8.0% 8.0% 7.6% 8.1% 8.8% 9.2% 8.9% 7.0%
Julia Paxton 4.0% 3.2% 3.7% 4.4% 5.3% 5.8% 6.1% 6.3% 8.1% 6.4% 8.8% 9.0% 12.5% 16.4%
Colleen Hartman 3.4% 3.8% 3.6% 4.3% 4.3% 4.9% 5.3% 5.0% 7.3% 7.1% 8.0% 11.7% 11.6% 19.7%
Connor Trepton 5.7% 6.0% 5.1% 7.9% 6.8% 7.6% 7.4% 7.9% 7.8% 8.2% 7.1% 7.6% 7.1% 7.8%
MaryClaire Kiernan 5.2% 6.6% 5.5% 5.3% 6.9% 4.7% 9.3% 7.3% 6.0% 8.1% 8.5% 9.5% 10.0% 7.1%
Robert Savoie 4.7% 4.4% 6.1% 5.7% 5.9% 5.6% 5.4% 6.7% 7.0% 8.7% 9.2% 10.9% 10.2% 9.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.