Race 12B

truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ryan Davidson 12.6% 12.3% 10.9% 10.8% 9.4% 8.2% 8.2% 7.5% 4.6% 4.3% 4.4% 3.2% 2.8% 0.8%
Ryan Seago 6.5% 7.8% 7.2% 6.0% 7.2% 6.0% 6.9% 6.9% 8.8% 8.5% 8.2% 8.5% 5.1% 6.4%
Peter Edmunds 5.7% 4.8% 7.1% 5.7% 6.1% 4.9% 5.5% 7.3% 8.2% 9.2% 7.8% 8.9% 10.0% 8.8%
Connor Trepton 5.2% 5.8% 6.7% 6.4% 7.6% 7.5% 7.2% 6.8% 7.9% 7.3% 9.0% 8.7% 7.6% 6.3%
Julia Paxton 3.2% 3.8% 3.9% 5.0% 6.1% 6.0% 5.4% 5.0% 8.0% 6.9% 9.2% 9.0% 11.6% 16.9%
Mary Hall 11.2% 11.6% 10.7% 10.7% 9.7% 9.1% 7.6% 7.2% 6.2% 4.8% 4.2% 4.1% 1.9% 1.0%
Elliott Morrill 9.3% 8.5% 10.0% 7.4% 7.4% 8.3% 8.3% 7.5% 8.7% 6.6% 5.7% 5.3% 4.7% 2.3%
Alex Post 10.4% 10.7% 8.2% 8.5% 8.6% 8.1% 9.5% 7.2% 6.5% 5.6% 6.1% 4.3% 3.9% 2.4%
Edmund Cooper 6.2% 4.2% 5.2% 5.8% 5.8% 7.4% 6.6% 9.0% 7.1% 9.1% 8.3% 7.8% 9.5% 8.0%
MaryClaire Kiernan 5.2% 4.3% 5.0% 6.5% 6.6% 6.5% 8.1% 6.5% 6.9% 8.2% 7.2% 9.8% 10.0% 9.2%
Colleen Hartman 2.9% 3.7% 3.7% 4.3% 4.4% 4.8% 6.0% 5.4% 6.1% 7.2% 9.5% 9.0% 13.5% 19.5%
Ryan Astwood 11.3% 11.6% 10.4% 10.5% 9.2% 10.2% 7.6% 8.0% 4.8% 5.7% 3.8% 3.4% 1.7% 1.8%
Andrea Luna 5.9% 6.1% 5.5% 6.5% 6.1% 6.5% 7.5% 9.4% 8.4% 7.7% 7.8% 7.9% 7.5% 7.2%
Robert Savoie 4.4% 4.8% 5.5% 5.9% 5.8% 6.5% 5.6% 6.3% 7.8% 8.9% 8.8% 10.1% 10.2% 9.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.