Race 1C

truxtun-umsted

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alp Rodopman 10.4% 8.9% 10.7% 8.2% 10.1% 8.1% 7.2% 11.3% 6.5% 6.4% 5.8% 4.2% 2.2%
Paul Perry 9.1% 10.5% 7.8% 8.5% 11.5% 8.9% 8.1% 8.6% 6.5% 5.7% 8.1% 3.6% 3.1%
Timothy Siemers 5.9% 7.5% 7.3% 8.5% 6.9% 8.1% 8.1% 6.8% 9.4% 10.5% 7.3% 8.2% 5.5%
Matthew Ripkey 6.7% 7.7% 7.1% 7.9% 8.5% 7.8% 8.5% 7.4% 7.8% 9.4% 8.2% 8.2% 4.8%
Daniel LOCHNER 12.1% 13.1% 11.1% 10.4% 7.6% 9.3% 9.7% 6.4% 6.4% 6.2% 2.7% 3.4% 1.6%
Kyle Burgess 8.6% 6.1% 8.2% 8.2% 7.6% 9.5% 6.9% 8.4% 9.0% 8.2% 6.1% 7.7% 5.5%
Thomas Etheridge 3.9% 3.6% 3.4% 3.9% 3.9% 5.1% 4.9% 5.4% 5.7% 5.5% 11.0% 14.0% 29.7%
John LaBossiere 6.9% 8.0% 5.8% 7.1% 7.5% 6.9% 8.4% 8.2% 10.0% 8.2% 8.3% 7.9% 6.8%
Philip Youngberg 8.9% 7.2% 9.0% 8.7% 8.5% 8.6% 8.0% 8.7% 7.8% 5.4% 8.2% 6.4% 4.6%
Brendan Cook 12.1% 10.6% 10.7% 9.7% 8.2% 9.6% 7.5% 6.5% 7.9% 6.2% 4.9% 3.9% 2.2%
Sean Burke 3.7% 3.3% 4.5% 5.3% 5.8% 4.9% 6.1% 6.4% 6.8% 10.1% 12.2% 12.6% 18.3%
Matthew Lyons 7.3% 7.5% 8.7% 7.8% 7.3% 6.9% 9.6% 8.3% 8.0% 8.0% 8.3% 7.7% 4.6%
Ben Wilkinson 4.4% 6.0% 5.7% 5.8% 6.6% 6.3% 7.0% 7.6% 8.2% 10.2% 8.9% 12.2% 11.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.