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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.03+5.06vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.33+6.60vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.59+4.25vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.39+3.96vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.12+1.42vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.21+3.06vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.18-1.70vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.86-1.39vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.36-0.74vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.58-2.33vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.30-3.03vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.05-2.82vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.05-3.29vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.82-7.31vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.46-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Bowdoin College2.0310.2%1st Place
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8.6Brown University1.335.1%1st Place
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7.25University of Rhode Island1.596.9%1st Place
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7.96Boston University1.395.5%1st Place
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6.42Harvard University2.1210.1%1st Place
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9.06Salve Regina University1.214.0%1st Place
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5.3Yale University2.1812.8%1st Place
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6.61Roger Williams University1.869.4%1st Place
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8.26Boston College1.365.8%1st Place
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7.67Boston College1.586.5%1st Place
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7.97Tufts University1.305.5%1st Place
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9.18University of Vermont1.054.5%1st Place
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9.71Northeastern University1.054.0%1st Place
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6.69Brown University1.828.8%1st Place
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13.26Bentley University-0.460.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibault Antonietti | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Peter Cronin | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 5.7% |
| Mateo Farina | 12.8% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Grant Gridley | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 6.0% |
| Matt Hersey | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 7.5% |
| Thomas Styron | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 61.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.