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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.12+5.49vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.82+4.80vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.33+5.47vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.03+2.21vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.18+0.45vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.86+0.91vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.58+0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.59-0.74vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.39-1.04vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.36-1.51vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.30-2.82vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.05-2.14vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.21-3.90vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.05-4.70vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-0.79-0.73vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-0.46-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Harvard University2.128.9%1st Place
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6.8Brown University1.828.3%1st Place
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8.47Brown University1.335.4%1st Place
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6.21Bowdoin College2.0310.1%1st Place
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5.45Yale University2.1812.3%1st Place
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6.91Roger Williams University1.868.8%1st Place
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7.63Boston College1.586.8%1st Place
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7.26University of Rhode Island1.597.6%1st Place
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7.96Boston University1.396.0%1st Place
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8.49Boston College1.365.9%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University1.305.7%1st Place
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9.86Northeastern University1.052.9%1st Place
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9.1Salve Regina University1.215.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Vermont1.054.6%1st Place
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14.27Wesleyan University-0.790.7%1st Place
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13.63Bentley University-0.461.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Styron | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Farina | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Grant Gridley | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 2.6% |
| Peter Cronin | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| Ned Herrington | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 20.6% | 53.0% |
| Dane Phippen | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 29.8% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.