Race 2C

truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kyle Burgess 6.2% 5.5% 7.9% 7.8% 8.6% 7.9% 7.2% 8.1% 9.5% 10.1% 7.9% 7.9% 5.4%
Enrique Arathoon 23.3% 19.1% 15.9% 12.6% 9.8% 5.9% 5.7% 3.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Philip Youngberg 5.9% 7.3% 7.4% 9.1% 9.2% 9.1% 8.3% 9.6% 9.5% 7.2% 6.1% 8.0% 3.3%
Daniel LOCHNER 9.2% 10.9% 9.5% 10.9% 8.4% 10.4% 8.7% 8.2% 7.5% 6.8% 5.1% 3.0% 1.4%
Alp Rodopman 8.8% 8.6% 9.8% 9.4% 9.8% 7.7% 7.9% 8.7% 8.5% 7.4% 6.0% 4.6% 2.8%
Paul Perry 8.5% 8.7% 8.7% 8.9% 9.7% 7.9% 10.1% 8.7% 6.6% 7.7% 6.6% 5.0% 2.9%
Matthew Ripkey 7.9% 5.9% 6.9% 6.8% 7.7% 7.9% 8.6% 7.7% 8.8% 7.3% 11.4% 8.1% 5.0%
Timothy Siemers 5.9% 6.9% 5.5% 7.5% 7.3% 7.9% 8.6% 9.3% 9.0% 10.0% 7.5% 7.5% 7.1%
Sean Burke 3.3% 3.7% 2.5% 4.7% 4.7% 4.1% 5.2% 6.3% 7.1% 9.4% 11.6% 15.2% 22.2%
Thomas Etheridge 2.6% 3.2% 3.6% 2.3% 2.3% 5.0% 6.2% 5.8% 6.1% 7.4% 11.1% 15.4% 29.0%
John LaBossiere 5.2% 6.4% 8.4% 6.3% 6.1% 8.7% 8.9% 9.4% 8.1% 9.2% 8.8% 8.2% 6.3%
Ben Wilkinson 3.7% 5.7% 3.8% 5.2% 7.0% 7.3% 6.4% 5.6% 9.3% 10.3% 11.1% 12.7% 11.9%
Brendan Cook 9.5% 8.1% 10.1% 8.5% 9.4% 10.2% 8.2% 9.2% 8.2% 6.0% 6.1% 3.9% 2.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.