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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+5.16vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.05+1.46vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.80+3.97vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.45+4.05vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.63+2.35vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.00+0.22vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.90-0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.73-0.92vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.70-1.72vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-3.03vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.85-1.46vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.13-5.95vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.07-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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3.46College of Charleston4.050.2%1st Place
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6.97Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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8.05SUNY Maritime College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.35Georgetown University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.22University of South Florida3.000.1%1st Place
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6.55U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Wisconsin2.730.1%1st Place
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7.28Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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6.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.1%1st Place
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9.54University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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6.05Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Enrique Arathoon | 23.8% | 19.9% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Ben Wilkinson | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.7% |
| John LaBossiere | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% |
| Paul Perry | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Philip Youngberg | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 4.4% |
| Timothy Siemers | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% |
| Kyle Burgess | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 24.6% |
| Brendan Cook | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Sean Burke | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.