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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+6.66vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.31+4.03vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.98+4.38vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.56+5.06vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.98vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.17+0.49vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.29+7.29vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.87+4.25vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-0.02vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-0.59vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.36-1.11vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.00-0.08vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.58-4.31vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.67-1.02vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.35-5.19vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-7.43vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.95-1.68vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.31-7.94vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College2.47-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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6.03Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.38Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.06Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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7.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.49Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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14.29Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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12.25University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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9.89Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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11.92SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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8.69Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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12.98Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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9.81Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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15.32University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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10.06University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
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13.24Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Sean Bouchard | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| John Stokes | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 16.2% | 20.6% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 6.6% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Ted Green | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 4.1% |
| Edward Glackin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Max Rollins | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Christina Johns | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 34.8% |
| Leif Evensen | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Amy Baxter | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.