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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College-0.11+4.83vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.09+1.05vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.21+1.95vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.06+1.72vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.32-0.20vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.45-1.60vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-0.85+0.45vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.01-2.34vs Predicted
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9Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-0.62vs Predicted
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10Florida State University-1.00-2.10vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.02-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Rollins College-0.117.8%1st Place
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3.05Jacksonville University1.0926.2%1st Place
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4.95University of Miami0.2111.5%1st Place
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5.72Rollins College-0.068.3%1st Place
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4.8Jacksonville University0.3211.6%1st Place
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4.4University of South Florida0.4513.2%1st Place
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7.45Jacksonville University-0.853.6%1st Place
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5.66University of South Florida0.018.0%1st Place
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8.38Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.112.5%1st Place
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7.9Florida State University-1.003.4%1st Place
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7.86Embry-Riddle University-1.024.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Adderley | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Joshua Knowles | 26.2% | 22.2% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher McCollum | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| KA Hamner | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Mason Mattice | 11.6% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Sara Menesale | 13.2% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Rori Bywater | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 14.9% |
| Blake March | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Nathan Hjort | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 29.2% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 22.0% |
| Suhas Medidi | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 19.1% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.