Race 4C

truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Enrique Arathoon 23.0% 20.0% 14.7% 13.1% 10.3% 7.3% 3.6% 3.6% 2.1% 1.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Philip Youngberg 6.9% 7.6% 9.0% 6.4% 9.3% 9.7% 9.5% 7.4% 8.0% 8.6% 7.2% 6.5% 3.9%
Matthew Lyons 5.6% 6.6% 7.6% 9.1% 7.6% 8.9% 8.2% 9.5% 8.0% 9.4% 8.3% 6.6% 4.6%
Daniel LOCHNER 10.3% 9.8% 10.3% 9.8% 10.8% 8.4% 8.4% 7.8% 8.1% 7.1% 3.9% 3.9% 1.4%
Timothy Siemers 7.2% 5.3% 7.4% 8.0% 7.9% 7.8% 6.4% 8.8% 9.5% 8.9% 9.7% 6.8% 6.3%
Paul Perry 9.2% 8.6% 8.7% 8.9% 9.3% 9.4% 9.2% 7.7% 7.4% 7.1% 5.9% 5.4% 3.2%
Kyle Burgess 7.7% 7.4% 7.5% 6.6% 6.0% 9.3% 9.6% 7.5% 8.8% 8.2% 9.3% 7.4% 4.7%
Brendan Cook 9.4% 9.6% 9.3% 10.6% 8.1% 9.4% 11.6% 8.0% 7.7% 6.2% 5.0% 3.5% 1.6%
Thomas Etheridge 2.0% 3.9% 3.1% 3.4% 3.4% 2.8% 4.6% 6.4% 6.3% 8.0% 10.7% 14.7% 30.7%
Matthew Ripkey 7.3% 5.4% 6.8% 8.0% 8.4% 9.2% 6.7% 8.4% 7.8% 9.4% 7.9% 9.2% 5.5%
Ben Wilkinson 4.0% 5.9% 6.5% 5.2% 6.9% 6.8% 7.9% 9.4% 9.2% 8.5% 10.9% 10.7% 8.1%
Sean Burke 3.0% 3.8% 2.9% 4.3% 3.7% 5.4% 5.7% 6.9% 7.3% 8.2% 11.3% 15.2% 22.3%
John LaBossiere 4.4% 6.1% 6.2% 6.6% 8.3% 5.6% 8.6% 8.6% 9.8% 9.2% 9.0% 9.9% 7.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.