Race 5C

truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Paul Perry 7.5% 7.8% 9.3% 8.0% 9.9% 7.2% 9.2% 8.0% 9.9% 7.9% 7.0% 3.8% 4.5%
Enrique Arathoon 22.5% 18.4% 16.1% 13.4% 8.4% 6.2% 6.1% 3.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Matthew Lyons 5.7% 5.9% 7.4% 7.9% 7.6% 8.8% 6.7% 8.7% 9.4% 9.3% 8.3% 8.3% 6.0%
Timothy Siemers 4.8% 6.2% 6.5% 7.2% 7.3% 8.5% 7.6% 8.8% 7.2% 8.9% 10.0% 9.2% 7.8%
Alp Rodopman 8.9% 9.5% 8.0% 9.4% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 8.0% 8.5% 7.4% 5.9% 6.0% 2.9%
John LaBossiere 6.2% 5.4% 5.7% 6.3% 7.5% 7.6% 7.6% 8.3% 7.4% 9.1% 9.4% 11.9% 7.6%
Brendan Cook 9.9% 9.7% 9.1% 8.1% 9.2% 9.7% 9.2% 6.5% 8.9% 7.4% 5.7% 4.9% 1.7%
Daniel LOCHNER 9.3% 10.7% 9.8% 9.0% 8.5% 11.2% 8.6% 8.5% 6.9% 6.6% 4.6% 4.2% 2.1%
Philip Youngberg 7.4% 6.5% 7.2% 8.5% 8.0% 8.0% 8.9% 8.9% 7.6% 7.6% 7.4% 7.8% 6.2%
Thomas Etheridge 2.8% 3.1% 2.6% 2.8% 3.7% 3.1% 5.3% 5.4% 5.8% 7.5% 10.2% 13.9% 33.8%
Ben Wilkinson 4.3% 4.6% 6.0% 6.1% 5.8% 7.0% 8.4% 7.5% 7.9% 10.6% 9.1% 11.7% 11.0%
Kyle Burgess 5.5% 6.3% 6.1% 7.1% 8.3% 5.9% 6.7% 8.7% 9.2% 8.9% 11.7% 7.8% 7.8%
Matthew Ripkey 5.2% 5.9% 6.2% 6.2% 7.3% 8.3% 7.2% 8.8% 8.8% 7.7% 10.0% 9.9% 8.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.