Race 6C

truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Timothy Siemers 5.7% 6.5% 6.6% 7.4% 8.4% 8.1% 6.5% 9.0% 9.3% 9.8% 8.4% 8.4% 5.9%
Alp Rodopman 7.4% 9.6% 8.0% 10.0% 8.4% 9.4% 10.4% 8.1% 7.5% 8.1% 6.2% 4.5% 2.4%
Enrique Arathoon 23.5% 18.0% 14.9% 13.3% 8.5% 8.7% 5.4% 3.6% 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Kyle Burgess 5.5% 7.9% 6.9% 7.4% 8.2% 7.1% 8.3% 7.7% 10.4% 9.2% 7.4% 8.7% 5.3%
Matthew Lyons 6.7% 7.3% 7.9% 8.6% 8.4% 6.8% 8.9% 7.9% 8.1% 8.4% 9.0% 8.0% 4.0%
Daniel LOCHNER 10.7% 10.2% 10.1% 10.8% 10.1% 8.6% 8.3% 8.5% 7.4% 5.3% 4.8% 4.0% 1.2%
John LaBossiere 6.4% 5.7% 8.1% 5.7% 7.7% 6.6% 6.8% 9.2% 9.3% 7.9% 11.4% 8.8% 6.4%
Ben Wilkinson 3.8% 6.2% 5.1% 5.5% 6.2% 6.0% 8.5% 8.1% 9.2% 10.2% 10.8% 10.5% 9.9%
Paul Perry 8.5% 7.2% 8.9% 8.8% 8.9% 8.8% 9.7% 8.3% 7.8% 7.3% 7.3% 4.9% 3.6%
Brendan Cook 10.9% 8.3% 9.6% 10.0% 10.0% 8.7% 8.2% 9.2% 6.4% 6.7% 5.2% 4.3% 2.5%
Matthew Ripkey 6.0% 7.1% 8.4% 6.5% 7.3% 9.9% 8.2% 10.0% 7.9% 8.3% 8.8% 6.7% 4.9%
Thomas Etheridge 2.1% 2.5% 2.7% 2.8% 3.5% 5.4% 5.3% 4.6% 6.4% 7.7% 11.0% 14.2% 31.8%
Sean Burke 2.8% 3.5% 2.8% 3.2% 4.4% 5.9% 5.5% 5.8% 8.3% 9.7% 9.2% 16.9% 22.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.