Race 7C

truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brendan Cook 9.2% 8.8% 10.7% 9.4% 9.4% 9.5% 9.7% 9.4% 8.5% 6.5% 5.3% 3.1% 0.5%
Enrique Arathoon 24.3% 18.3% 16.3% 12.0% 9.0% 7.6% 5.5% 2.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Alp Rodopman 6.6% 9.6% 9.7% 9.2% 7.5% 9.8% 9.2% 11.1% 8.5% 8.3% 5.7% 4.4% 0.4%
Matthew Lyons 6.1% 7.2% 7.0% 7.7% 9.1% 8.6% 8.6% 7.5% 10.2% 10.3% 9.6% 7.6% 0.5%
Sean Burke 4.0% 3.2% 3.9% 4.1% 5.2% 6.3% 6.0% 6.5% 8.1% 9.6% 13.4% 24.8% 4.9%
Timothy Siemers 6.9% 5.6% 7.0% 7.9% 7.5% 7.8% 8.4% 10.2% 9.9% 9.0% 9.2% 9.7% 0.9%
Kyle Burgess 7.5% 6.9% 7.8% 7.1% 7.8% 7.3% 7.9% 8.8% 9.5% 11.2% 11.2% 6.0% 1.0%
Paul Perry 7.7% 9.9% 7.3% 9.7% 8.7% 8.9% 10.2% 10.4% 9.0% 6.6% 5.9% 5.2% 0.5%
Daniel LOCHNER 9.7% 9.8% 9.9% 10.9% 9.2% 10.3% 9.1% 8.3% 5.8% 7.1% 5.9% 3.5% 0.5%
Matthew Ripkey 6.9% 6.9% 6.1% 6.9% 9.9% 7.7% 7.6% 8.2% 8.3% 11.4% 8.8% 9.7% 1.6%
Philip Youngberg 7.0% 8.4% 9.2% 9.0% 8.8% 10.0% 9.2% 8.5% 9.6% 8.1% 6.4% 4.9% 0.9%
Ben Wilkinson 3.8% 5.0% 4.9% 5.8% 7.6% 5.7% 7.7% 7.3% 9.5% 10.0% 14.9% 15.7% 2.1%
Taylor Bradford 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 2.8% 5.2% 86.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.