Race 8C

truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alp Rodopman 8.2% 8.7% 9.7% 9.4% 9.3% 7.3% 11.2% 9.9% 8.6% 6.4% 6.3% 4.6% 0.4%
Matthew Lyons 6.2% 8.0% 6.8% 7.7% 7.8% 9.2% 9.8% 9.6% 8.6% 8.3% 9.4% 7.5% 1.1%
Enrique Arathoon 23.7% 19.2% 15.1% 13.1% 9.6% 6.9% 5.7% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.2%
Paul Perry 8.3% 8.5% 8.2% 9.3% 9.6% 9.4% 8.5% 9.0% 8.4% 9.2% 6.4% 4.7% 0.5%
Philip Youngberg 8.1% 8.0% 8.5% 9.3% 9.1% 7.9% 7.3% 10.7% 8.1% 8.3% 7.4% 6.7% 0.6%
Sean Burke 3.7% 3.0% 3.7% 4.1% 5.5% 4.6% 7.6% 5.5% 8.0% 11.6% 13.5% 24.0% 5.2%
Daniel LOCHNER 11.1% 10.1% 11.3% 8.6% 9.5% 10.3% 9.8% 7.7% 7.7% 6.5% 4.5% 2.5% 0.4%
John LaBossiere 4.9% 7.6% 5.5% 6.4% 7.7% 8.2% 8.6% 9.1% 9.3% 10.1% 11.7% 9.9% 1.0%
Brendan Cook 9.1% 8.4% 11.0% 10.4% 8.8% 10.8% 7.8% 8.6% 8.0% 6.9% 5.9% 3.7% 0.6%
Matthew Ripkey 6.9% 6.6% 7.1% 7.7% 7.9% 9.3% 7.7% 8.2% 8.9% 9.6% 10.1% 8.8% 1.2%
Ben Wilkinson 3.9% 5.7% 7.0% 5.7% 6.6% 7.4% 8.8% 8.5% 10.0% 11.5% 10.3% 12.5% 2.1%
Timothy Siemers 5.5% 5.9% 5.9% 8.1% 8.0% 8.1% 6.6% 8.9% 11.2% 9.4% 12.0% 9.1% 1.3%
Taylor Bradford 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 2.2% 6.0% 85.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.