Race 9C

truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Paul Perry 8.1% 8.0% 9.1% 9.8% 8.9% 8.1% 9.7% 10.1% 8.0% 8.5% 6.2% 5.2% 0.3%
Alp Rodopman 8.0% 9.0% 8.3% 9.2% 8.9% 10.1% 11.0% 8.7% 7.7% 7.4% 7.1% 3.9% 0.7%
Enrique Arathoon 23.4% 18.9% 15.7% 12.6% 9.7% 7.3% 5.0% 4.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
Kyle Burgess 5.7% 7.7% 6.2% 7.5% 8.7% 8.0% 7.8% 10.1% 9.9% 9.3% 10.6% 7.7% 0.8%
Philip Youngberg 7.5% 8.1% 9.2% 9.0% 7.8% 9.0% 7.9% 8.7% 9.0% 9.3% 6.9% 7.1% 0.5%
Sean Burke 3.6% 3.4% 4.0% 4.2% 4.6% 5.7% 6.2% 7.1% 7.9% 11.3% 13.4% 23.4% 5.2%
John LaBossiere 6.6% 6.2% 6.7% 7.2% 6.5% 7.2% 8.9% 8.6% 9.4% 10.8% 11.5% 8.9% 1.5%
Matthew Lyons 5.9% 8.1% 6.6% 8.0% 8.0% 8.3% 9.7% 9.6% 10.3% 8.9% 8.6% 7.4% 0.6%
Daniel LOCHNER 9.8% 10.1% 10.1% 9.3% 10.3% 11.1% 8.1% 7.8% 7.9% 6.4% 5.3% 3.4% 0.4%
Matthew Ripkey 7.0% 6.2% 7.2% 7.1% 8.6% 8.8% 7.9% 8.2% 9.2% 9.7% 9.6% 9.5% 1.0%
Brendan Cook 10.0% 9.7% 10.9% 11.2% 10.2% 8.8% 9.4% 8.4% 8.1% 5.2% 4.7% 3.1% 0.3%
Ben Wilkinson 4.1% 4.2% 5.8% 4.6% 7.3% 7.2% 7.4% 7.9% 9.3% 10.8% 13.5% 15.7% 2.2%
Taylor Bradford 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 0.8% 1.0% 1.6% 2.5% 4.7% 86.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.