Race 10C

truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Enrique Arathoon 22.8% 20.0% 16.1% 14.3% 8.8% 5.9% 4.8% 3.6% 1.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Lyons 6.0% 7.6% 8.0% 6.9% 9.4% 7.8% 9.7% 9.0% 10.2% 9.4% 8.6% 6.7% 0.7%
Kyle Burgess 5.5% 6.4% 7.1% 9.0% 8.2% 8.4% 8.1% 9.4% 10.3% 10.7% 9.1% 6.8% 1.0%
Daniel LOCHNER 10.4% 9.8% 10.3% 12.2% 10.4% 8.0% 8.1% 8.2% 9.0% 5.1% 5.6% 2.5% 0.4%
Sean Burke 4.0% 3.4% 3.7% 4.5% 5.9% 5.5% 6.7% 6.3% 7.7% 10.9% 13.3% 23.1% 5.0%
Alp Rodopman 9.2% 9.2% 10.4% 8.5% 9.7% 9.0% 9.8% 9.2% 7.2% 7.2% 5.5% 4.8% 0.3%
Philip Youngberg 8.3% 8.7% 8.1% 7.5% 7.5% 10.5% 9.4% 8.3% 9.5% 8.9% 7.2% 5.4% 0.7%
Brendan Cook 9.8% 9.5% 10.5% 9.4% 9.0% 10.0% 11.4% 9.2% 6.7% 6.5% 4.7% 3.1% 0.2%
John LaBossiere 5.8% 5.0% 6.7% 7.0% 7.1% 8.0% 8.5% 9.0% 9.8% 10.2% 9.8% 11.6% 1.5%
Timothy Siemers 7.4% 5.8% 7.4% 7.0% 9.1% 8.9% 7.0% 8.5% 8.4% 10.1% 9.7% 9.2% 1.5%
Matthew Ripkey 6.0% 8.5% 6.8% 7.6% 8.4% 9.7% 9.2% 9.5% 9.0% 8.7% 8.9% 6.5% 1.2%
Ben Wilkinson 4.4% 5.6% 4.8% 5.9% 6.2% 7.4% 6.8% 8.9% 9.9% 8.8% 14.6% 14.5% 2.2%
Taylor Bradford 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 1.8% 2.6% 5.7% 85.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.