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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.05+2.46vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.04+4.05vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.00+3.15vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.63+3.21vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.90+1.35vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.45+1.66vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.73-0.18vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-1.22vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.20-3.37vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.80-3.33vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.70-4.22vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-0.24+0.51vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.07-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46College of Charleston4.050.2%1st Place
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6.05Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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6.15University of South Florida3.000.1%1st Place
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7.21Georgetown University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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7.66SUNY Maritime College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Wisconsin2.730.1%1st Place
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6.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.1%1st Place
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5.63Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.67Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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6.78Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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12.51University of Michigan-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enrique Arathoon | 24.1% | 20.1% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Paul Perry | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| John LaBossiere | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 1.5% |
| Philip Youngberg | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Ben Wilkinson | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
| Kyle Burgess | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 0.7% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Lyons | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 1.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Bradford | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 6.6% | 84.8% |
| Sean Burke | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 25.5% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.