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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.56+5.06vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.67+3.53vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.55+3.21vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78-1.12vs Predicted
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5Yale University0.99+2.97vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.58+0.17vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.65+3.42vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.14-0.61vs Predicted
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9Harvard University0.16+1.57vs Predicted
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10Boston College0.82-1.52vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.42-4.42vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.08-4.31vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-0.88-0.15vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.13-3.04vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.18-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Boston College1.568.5%1st Place
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5.53Tufts University1.679.3%1st Place
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6.21Brown University1.558.0%1st Place
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2.88University of Rhode Island2.7829.8%1st Place
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7.97Yale University0.995.1%1st Place
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6.17Roger Williams University1.588.6%1st Place
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10.42Northeastern University0.651.6%1st Place
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7.39Boston University1.146.3%1st Place
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10.57Harvard University0.161.7%1st Place
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8.48Boston College0.823.8%1st Place
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6.58Brown University1.426.5%1st Place
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7.69Bowdoin College1.085.6%1st Place
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12.85Bentley University-0.880.9%1st Place
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10.96University of Vermont-0.131.8%1st Place
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10.24Salve Regina University0.182.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Budington | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| John Eastman | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 29.8% | 23.6% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Petru Neagu | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| George Higham | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Carter Brock | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 8.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Paul Kuechler | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 11.2% |
| Lourdes Gallo | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Connor Macken | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Chance | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Archie Bolgar | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 48.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 19.7% | 14.3% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.