Race 12C

truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Enrique Arathoon 22.4% 19.2% 16.5% 12.2% 8.1% 7.8% 5.6% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Philip Youngberg 6.9% 7.1% 8.0% 7.7% 8.9% 10.8% 8.8% 9.4% 7.8% 8.6% 9.5% 5.8% 0.7%
Alp Rodopman 6.9% 8.3% 9.5% 9.6% 10.5% 8.7% 8.6% 10.5% 8.8% 7.8% 5.7% 4.8% 0.3%
John LaBossiere 5.5% 7.1% 5.0% 6.6% 7.4% 8.6% 7.8% 8.5% 10.6% 9.0% 11.5% 10.7% 1.7%
Matthew Lyons 7.4% 6.6% 7.8% 7.8% 8.8% 7.3% 8.0% 10.1% 8.5% 8.9% 9.7% 8.2% 0.9%
Matthew Ripkey 6.9% 5.9% 6.7% 6.9% 8.8% 7.3% 8.8% 9.0% 10.3% 9.8% 9.5% 8.9% 1.2%
Daniel LOCHNER 10.1% 11.4% 10.6% 8.1% 9.5% 10.4% 8.7% 8.3% 8.0% 6.9% 5.0% 2.7% 0.3%
Sean Burke 2.8% 4.6% 3.7% 4.2% 3.9% 4.7% 7.1% 7.1% 7.1% 11.3% 13.4% 26.2% 3.9%
Timothy Siemers 6.7% 5.1% 5.8% 8.1% 7.6% 8.2% 8.3% 9.0% 8.9% 10.0% 10.0% 10.6% 1.7%
Paul Perry 8.7% 7.3% 9.3% 10.3% 9.1% 8.3% 8.4% 8.2% 9.0% 8.6% 7.7% 4.3% 0.8%
Brendan Cook 9.1% 10.6% 11.2% 10.0% 8.9% 10.1% 10.8% 7.2% 7.8% 6.3% 4.6% 3.0% 0.4%
Kyle Burgess 6.3% 6.2% 5.9% 8.3% 8.2% 7.1% 8.1% 8.4% 9.5% 10.3% 11.1% 9.4% 1.2%
Taylor Bradford 0.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 0.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 5.2% 86.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.