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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.05+2.53vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.04+4.16vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.90+3.56vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.45+3.84vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.80+1.75vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.20-0.43vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.07+1.73vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.63-0.77vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.70-1.82vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.13-4.18vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-4.26vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.00-5.64vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-0.24-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53College of Charleston4.050.2%1st Place
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6.16Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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6.56U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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7.84SUNY Maritime College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.75Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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5.57Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.070.0%1st Place
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7.23Georgetown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.18Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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5.82Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.1%1st Place
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6.36University of South Florida3.000.1%1st Place
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12.54University of Michigan-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enrique Arathoon | 23.0% | 20.0% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Philip Youngberg | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 0.6% |
| Ben Wilkinson | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Lyons | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 1.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Sean Burke | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 23.6% | 4.7% |
| John LaBossiere | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 1.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 6.8% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 1.5% |
| Brendan Cook | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Burgess | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 0.6% |
| Paul Perry | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Bradford | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 86.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.