← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.42+5.45vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.78+1.06vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.67+2.58vs Predicted
-
4Boston University1.14+3.40vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.55+1.13vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University0.18+4.33vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University0.65+3.56vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University1.58-1.80vs Predicted
-
9Boston College0.82-0.78vs Predicted
-
10Boston College1.56-3.92vs Predicted
-
11Yale University0.99-3.15vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University0.16-1.52vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont-0.13-1.95vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College1.08-6.26vs Predicted
-
15Bentley University-0.88-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.45Brown University1.428.0%1st Place
-
3.06University of Rhode Island2.7827.5%1st Place
-
5.58Tufts University1.6710.8%1st Place
-
7.4Boston University1.145.7%1st Place
-
6.13Brown University1.558.8%1st Place
-
10.33Salve Regina University0.181.9%1st Place
-
10.56Northeastern University0.651.8%1st Place
-
6.2Roger Williams University1.588.8%1st Place
-
8.22Boston College0.823.8%1st Place
-
6.08Boston College1.568.6%1st Place
-
7.85Yale University0.995.1%1st Place
-
10.48Harvard University0.162.4%1st Place
-
11.05University of Vermont-0.131.1%1st Place
-
7.74Bowdoin College1.085.1%1st Place
-
12.87Bentley University-0.880.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Macken | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 27.5% | 22.5% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 9.0% |
| Carter Brock | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 10.4% |
| George Higham | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Lourdes Gallo | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Nick Budington | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Petru Neagu | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 11.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 18.3% | 15.8% |
| Jonathan Chance | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Archie Bolgar | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.