← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jack Adderley 8.8% 6.5% 8.8% 8.8% 9.6% 10.6% 12.8% 9.8% 11.1% 8.8% 4.5%
Christopher McCollum 9.2% 11.1% 10.8% 11.1% 11.6% 11.8% 11.0% 9.2% 7.6% 4.8% 2.1%
Joshua Knowles 24.8% 20.8% 16.7% 13.0% 9.6% 6.8% 4.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Kallista Halatsis 2.8% 3.7% 3.9% 4.2% 5.0% 6.3% 7.2% 8.7% 12.6% 18.9% 26.6%
Blake March 8.4% 9.4% 9.2% 10.5% 11.0% 10.4% 10.7% 10.3% 10.0% 6.3% 3.7%
Sara Menesale 13.8% 13.5% 12.8% 12.6% 12.1% 11.2% 8.2% 7.2% 5.0% 2.6% 0.9%
Mason Mattice 12.4% 12.4% 11.9% 11.3% 12.3% 10.4% 9.4% 8.2% 5.8% 4.0% 1.8%
KA Hamner 7.1% 7.9% 8.5% 10.5% 9.1% 10.7% 10.8% 10.9% 10.6% 8.5% 5.3%
Cheyenne Dooley 5.9% 7.5% 7.6% 8.2% 8.5% 9.6% 10.5% 12.0% 13.1% 9.6% 7.5%
Mason Oleniczak 3.8% 4.4% 4.3% 6.0% 5.5% 7.0% 8.1% 12.2% 11.9% 16.4% 20.5%
Suhas Medidi 3.0% 2.9% 5.5% 3.8% 5.9% 5.3% 7.1% 8.8% 11.2% 19.5% 27.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.