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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.05+2.69vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.04+4.57vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.90+4.01vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.70+3.56vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.63+2.69vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.73+1.38vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.45+1.21vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.80-0.81vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-1.55vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.13-3.84vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.00-4.65vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.20-5.86vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.07-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69College of Charleston4.050.2%1st Place
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6.57Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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7.56Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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7.69Georgetown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Wisconsin2.730.1%1st Place
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8.21SUNY Maritime College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.19Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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7.45St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.1%1st Place
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6.16Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.35University of South Florida3.000.1%1st Place
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6.14Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enrique Arathoon | 21.9% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Philip Youngberg | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% |
| Timothy Siemers | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% |
| John LaBossiere | 6.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% |
| Ben Wilkinson | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 13.1% |
| Matthew Lyons | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
| Kyle Burgess | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% |
| Brendan Cook | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| Paul Perry | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Sean Burke | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.