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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.42+5.40vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.56+4.13vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.55+3.20vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.67+1.51vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.08+2.66vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.65+4.53vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.58-0.87vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.78-5.06vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14-1.59vs Predicted
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10Boston College0.82-1.65vs Predicted
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11Yale University0.99-3.03vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.18-1.74vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.13-1.88vs Predicted
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14Harvard University0.16-3.54vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.88-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4Brown University1.427.6%1st Place
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6.13Boston College1.567.6%1st Place
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6.2Brown University1.559.0%1st Place
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5.51Tufts University1.6710.4%1st Place
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7.66Bowdoin College1.085.9%1st Place
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10.53Northeastern University0.651.8%1st Place
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6.13Roger Williams University1.588.2%1st Place
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2.94University of Rhode Island2.7829.5%1st Place
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7.41Boston University1.145.0%1st Place
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8.35Boston College0.823.7%1st Place
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7.97Yale University0.995.4%1st Place
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10.26Salve Regina University0.182.1%1st Place
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11.12University of Vermont-0.131.4%1st Place
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10.46Harvard University0.161.6%1st Place
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12.92Bentley University-0.880.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Macken | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nick Budington | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| John Eastman | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Chance | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Carter Brock | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 9.8% |
| George Higham | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 29.5% | 23.8% | 15.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Lourdes Gallo | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Petru Neagu | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 8.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 15.9% |
| Paul Kuechler | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 11.3% |
| Archie Bolgar | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.