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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.56+5.13vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+0.99vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.55+3.35vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.08+3.66vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.65+5.46vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.42+0.35vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.14+0.41vs Predicted
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8Yale University0.990.00vs Predicted
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9Boston College0.82-0.76vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.18+0.22vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.67-5.53vs Predicted
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12Harvard University0.16-1.42vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.13-1.93vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.58-7.79vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.88-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Boston College1.568.4%1st Place
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2.99University of Rhode Island2.7829.5%1st Place
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6.35Brown University1.557.7%1st Place
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7.66Bowdoin College1.085.2%1st Place
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10.46Northeastern University0.652.5%1st Place
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6.35Brown University1.427.8%1st Place
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7.41Boston University1.145.9%1st Place
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8.0Yale University0.994.5%1st Place
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8.24Boston College0.824.2%1st Place
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10.22Salve Regina University0.181.8%1st Place
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5.47Tufts University1.6710.7%1st Place
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10.58Harvard University0.162.4%1st Place
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11.07University of Vermont-0.131.2%1st Place
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6.21Roger Williams University1.587.3%1st Place
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12.86Bentley University-0.880.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Budington | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 29.5% | 21.7% | 16.7% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Chance | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Carter Brock | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 10.7% |
| Connor Macken | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Petru Neagu | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Lourdes Gallo | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 9.8% |
| John Eastman | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 10.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 19.9% | 13.2% |
| George Higham | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Archie Bolgar | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.