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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.42+5.56vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.56+4.19vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.58+3.27vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78-0.94vs Predicted
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5Yale University0.99+2.76vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.14+1.58vs Predicted
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7Harvard University0.16+3.72vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.67-2.42vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.55-2.49vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.08-2.19vs Predicted
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11Boston College0.82-2.65vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-1.17+1.98vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-0.88+0.32vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.65-3.35vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.18-4.62vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.13-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56Brown University1.427.9%1st Place
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6.19Boston College1.569.0%1st Place
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6.27Roger Williams University1.588.6%1st Place
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3.06University of Rhode Island2.7827.8%1st Place
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7.76Yale University0.994.9%1st Place
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7.58Boston University1.145.1%1st Place
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10.72Harvard University0.162.1%1st Place
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5.58Tufts University1.679.9%1st Place
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6.51Brown University1.557.0%1st Place
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7.81Bowdoin College1.085.0%1st Place
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8.35Boston College0.824.5%1st Place
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13.98Wesleyan University-1.170.4%1st Place
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13.32Bentley University-0.880.8%1st Place
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10.65Northeastern University0.652.6%1st Place
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10.38Salve Regina University0.182.6%1st Place
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11.29University of Vermont-0.131.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Macken | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nick Budington | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| George Higham | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 27.8% | 21.5% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Petru Neagu | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 5.3% |
| John Eastman | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Chance | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Lourdes Gallo | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Dennis Law | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 20.2% | 44.0% |
| Archie Bolgar | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 22.6% | 31.6% |
| Carter Brock | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 4.8% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 3.6% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.