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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+6.88vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.73+6.77vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.11+8.77vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+8.90vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.20vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.63+3.34vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.05+5.21vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.84vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.95-1.27vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College4.05-2.66vs Predicted
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11George Washington University3.49-1.04vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.79-3.27vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia3.01-0.57vs Predicted
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143.24-2.96vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.04-3.10vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.18-4.76vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania3.16-5.75vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.82-9.58vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island3.05-7.20vs Predicted
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20Princeton University0.21-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.77Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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12.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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7.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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12.21SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.73Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.34Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.96George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.73Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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12.43University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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11.043.240.0%1st Place
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11.9University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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11.24Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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8.42Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.8University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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19.26Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 1.5% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 3.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Nick Valente | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 1.6% |
| Michael Grove | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| William Macdonald | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 1.9% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 0.3% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 1.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 0.8% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 1.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 84.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.