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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.09+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.45+2.48vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.06+2.95vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.32+0.92vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.01+0.72vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-0.33+0.50vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.21-1.72vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.11-2.02vs Predicted
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9Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.88-1.27vs Predicted
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10Florida State University-1.00-1.89vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.02-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Jacksonville University1.0926.6%1st Place
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4.48University of South Florida0.4514.4%1st Place
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5.95Rollins College-0.066.3%1st Place
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4.92Jacksonville University0.3211.4%1st Place
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5.72University of South Florida0.018.2%1st Place
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6.5Jacksonville University-0.335.8%1st Place
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5.28University of Miami0.2110.4%1st Place
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5.98Rollins College-0.117.6%1st Place
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7.73Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.883.3%1st Place
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8.11Florida State University-1.003.0%1st Place
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8.14Embry-Riddle University-1.022.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joshua Knowles | 26.6% | 19.7% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Sara Menesale | 14.4% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
KA Hamner | 6.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 4.6% |
Mason Mattice | 11.4% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
Blake March | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
Cheyenne Dooley | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.1% |
Christopher McCollum | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
Jack Adderley | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% |
Mason Oleniczak | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 20.2% |
Kallista Halatsis | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 26.4% |
Suhas Medidi | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 18.5% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.