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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.31+4.94vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.98+5.31vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+4.85vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+5.48vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+4.02vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.89+1.61vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.47+6.70vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.58+1.18vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.29+5.01vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-0.92vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.95+4.45vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin3.31-1.46vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.56-4.24vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.00-2.33vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University3.36-5.21vs Predicted
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16Harvard University4.17-9.59vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.67-4.21vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.87-6.08vs Predicted
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19Boston University3.35-9.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.31Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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9.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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7.61Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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13.7Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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9.18Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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14.01Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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15.45University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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10.54University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
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8.76Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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11.67SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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9.79Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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6.41Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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12.79Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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11.92University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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9.48Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bouchard | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Colin Smith | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Liberty | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Cam Cullman | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Amy Baxter | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 15.8% |
| Edward Glackin | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 20.2% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Christina Johns | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 33.3% |
| Leif Evensen | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Ted Green | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.6% |
| Kyle Carney | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| John Stokes | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Max Rollins | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 5.7% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.