← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Maritime College3.05+10.81vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College3.18+9.32vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.73+5.94vs Predicted
-
43.24+7.01vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University3.82+3.30vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University3.95+1.88vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont3.63+2.51vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-0.26vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University3.49+0.75vs Predicted
-
10University of Wisconsin3.04+1.95vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College4.05-3.51vs Predicted
-
12University of Virginia3.01+0.31vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+0.24vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University3.11-2.47vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.71vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania3.16-4.67vs Predicted
-
17Harvard University3.79-8.60vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Naval Academy3.67-8.87vs Predicted
-
19University of Rhode Island3.05-7.21vs Predicted
-
20Princeton University0.21-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.81SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
-
11.32Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
-
8.94Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
11.013.240.0%1st Place
-
8.3Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
7.88Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
9.51University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
7.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
-
9.75George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
-
11.95University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
-
7.49Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
12.31University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
-
13.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
-
11.53Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
-
7.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
11.33University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
-
8.4Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
9.13U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
-
11.79University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
-
19.28Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Valente | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 1.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 1.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| William Macdonald | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 1.3% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 3.4% |
| Connor Godfrey | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 1.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Michael Grove | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 86.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.