← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont3.63+8.16vs Predicted
-
23.24+9.03vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College3.05+8.96vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania3.16+7.45vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.95+2.74vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.12vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+1.20vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College4.05-0.85vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University3.49+0.73vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University3.82-1.63vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin3.04+1.00vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University3.73-3.01vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University3.79-4.16vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University3.11-2.43vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College3.18-3.70vs Predicted
-
16University of Virginia3.01-3.95vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-4.23vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-10.66vs Predicted
-
19Princeton University0.21+0.18vs Predicted
-
20University of Rhode Island3.05-7.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.16University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
11.033.240.1%1st Place
-
11.96SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
-
11.45University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
-
7.74Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
9.12U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
8.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
-
7.15Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
9.73George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
-
8.37Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
12.0University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
-
8.99Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
8.84Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
11.57Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
-
11.3Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
-
12.05University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
-
12.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
-
7.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
19.18Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
-
12.04University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 0.6% |
| Nick Valente | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 1.9% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 1.3% |
| William Macdonald | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 2.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 0.9% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 1.8% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 2.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 83.5% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.