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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+8.05vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.49+7.88vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.05+8.94vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+7.31vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.73+3.77vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.29vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95+1.06vs Predicted
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83.24+2.79vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.63+0.10vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.04+1.98vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.05+0.95vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-3.89vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania3.16-1.18vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.82-5.67vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.79-6.43vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College4.05-8.70vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-4.26vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.11-6.30vs Predicted
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19University of Virginia3.01-6.96vs Predicted
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20Princeton University0.21-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.05U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.88George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.94SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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11.31Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.06Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.793.240.0%1st Place
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9.1University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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11.98University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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11.82University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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8.33Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.57Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.3Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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12.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.7Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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12.04University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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19.25Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Nick Valente | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 1.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 1.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 0.6% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 1.7% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 1.4% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 2.6% |
| Connor Godfrey | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 85.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.