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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.60+0.42vs Predicted
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2Miami University0.52+0.28vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.55+0.24vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-1.33-0.02vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-1.43-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42University of Illinois1.6065.5%1st Place
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2.28Miami University0.5221.5%1st Place
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3.24Marquette University-0.557.1%1st Place
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3.98University of Illinois-1.333.0%1st Place
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4.08University of Notre Dame-1.432.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 65.5% | 27.1% | 6.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Katy Schroeder | 21.5% | 42.3% | 25.1% | 9.3% | 1.8% |
| Etain McKinney | 7.1% | 16.1% | 35.7% | 27.6% | 13.6% |
| Katie Benstead | 3.0% | 7.6% | 17.9% | 31.4% | 40.1% |
| Collin Kemper | 2.9% | 7.0% | 14.5% | 31.0% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.