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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+8.00vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.63+7.20vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.18+8.38vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+3.88vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.05+2.29vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.11+5.70vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+0.56vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-0.40vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82-0.76vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.49-0.14vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.73-2.18vs Predicted
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123.24-0.75vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.05-0.79vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.05-2.19vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.79-6.51vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia3.01-3.96vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-4.31vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania3.16-6.58vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin3.04-7.16vs Predicted
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20Princeton University-0.81-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.0U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.2University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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11.38Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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7.29Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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11.7Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.6Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.24Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.86George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.82Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.253.240.0%1st Place
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12.21SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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11.81University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.49Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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12.04University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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12.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.42University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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19.73Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 1.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 0.4% |
| Nick Valente | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 0.6% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 0.4% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 1.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 0.4% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 0.5% |
| Bennett Brainard | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 94.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.