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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.63+8.14vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+5.34vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+5.06vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.11+7.57vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.82+3.33vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.05+6.02vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.18+4.60vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.80vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.73-0.41vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.49-0.11vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.43vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin3.04+0.15vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+0.19vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.05-2.23vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.74vs Predicted
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163.24-5.03vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.79-8.62vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.95-10.15vs Predicted
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19University of Virginia3.01-7.06vs Predicted
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20Princeton University-0.81-0.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.14University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.34Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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11.57Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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8.33Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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12.02University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.6Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.8U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.59Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.89George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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11.43University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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12.15University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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13.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.77SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.973.240.0%1st Place
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8.38Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.85Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.94University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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19.72Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 10.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 0.5% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 0.9% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 0.5% |
| Michael Grove | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 0.4% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 0.5% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 1.3% |
| Nick Valente | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 0.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| William Macdonald | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 0.3% |
| Bennett Brainard | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 94.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.