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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-1.43+3.08vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois1.60-0.57vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.55+0.28vs Predicted
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4Miami University0.52-1.76vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.33-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08University of Notre Dame-1.432.6%1st Place
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1.43University of Illinois1.6065.8%1st Place
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3.28Marquette University-0.557.1%1st Place
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2.24Miami University0.5221.2%1st Place
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3.96University of Illinois-1.333.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Kemper | 2.6% | 7.2% | 15.6% | 28.2% | 46.3% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 65.8% | 26.5% | 6.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Etain McKinney | 7.1% | 15.1% | 34.4% | 29.5% | 13.9% |
| Katy Schroeder | 21.2% | 44.2% | 24.6% | 9.3% | 0.8% |
| Katie Benstead | 3.2% | 7.0% | 18.8% | 32.1% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.