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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.60+0.43vs Predicted
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2Miami University0.52+0.31vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.55+0.21vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-1.33-0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-1.43-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43University of Illinois1.6065.8%1st Place
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2.31Miami University0.5219.8%1st Place
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3.21Marquette University-0.558.8%1st Place
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3.97University of Illinois-1.333.0%1st Place
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4.08University of Notre Dame-1.432.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 65.8% | 26.7% | 6.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Katy Schroeder | 19.8% | 42.4% | 26.6% | 9.5% | 1.7% |
| Etain McKinney | 8.8% | 15.8% | 33.6% | 28.6% | 13.1% |
| Katie Benstead | 3.0% | 8.5% | 16.7% | 32.2% | 39.5% |
| Collin Kemper | 2.5% | 6.6% | 16.7% | 28.5% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.