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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+7.26vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.18+9.27vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.95+4.98vs Predicted
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43.24+6.97vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.63+4.19vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.05+1.36vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+0.47vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.05+3.64vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.05+2.79vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-2.08vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.92vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.49-1.86vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania3.16-1.27vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.11-2.51vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.04-3.10vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.73-7.29vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.79-8.68vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia3.01-5.88vs Predicted
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19Princeton University-0.81+0.66vs Predicted
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20U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-7.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.27Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.98Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.973.240.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.36Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.64SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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11.79University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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7.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.14George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.73University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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11.49Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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11.9University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.71Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.32Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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12.12University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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19.66Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 0.3% |
| William Macdonald | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 0.4% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 0.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 0.6% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 0.4% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 0.6% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 0.6% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 0.9% |
| Bennett Brainard | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 93.3% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.