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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.60+0.42vs Predicted
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2Miami University0.52+0.28vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.55+0.28vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-1.43+0.06vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.33-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42University of Illinois1.6066.8%1st Place
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2.28Miami University0.5220.4%1st Place
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3.28Marquette University-0.556.2%1st Place
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4.06University of Notre Dame-1.433.2%1st Place
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3.96University of Illinois-1.333.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 66.8% | 25.6% | 6.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Katy Schroeder | 20.4% | 43.2% | 26.0% | 8.9% | 1.5% |
| Etain McKinney | 6.2% | 17.4% | 33.4% | 28.4% | 14.5% |
| Collin Kemper | 3.2% | 6.4% | 16.4% | 29.0% | 45.0% |
| Katie Benstead | 3.3% | 7.4% | 17.7% | 32.6% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.