← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University3.95+6.71vs Predicted
-
23.24+8.95vs Predicted
-
3University of Virginia3.01+9.15vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University3.49+5.87vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University3.73+3.70vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College3.05+5.90vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.79+1.84vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University3.11+3.38vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-1.21vs Predicted
-
10University of Wisconsin3.04+1.94vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College3.18+0.36vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University3.82-3.41vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-5.50vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-1.23vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy3.67-5.98vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont3.63-6.80vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island3.05-5.26vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania3.16-6.53vs Predicted
-
19Princeton University-0.81+0.67vs Predicted
-
20Dartmouth College4.05-12.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.71Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
10.953.240.1%1st Place
-
12.15University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
-
9.87George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.7Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
11.9SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
-
8.84Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
11.38Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
-
7.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
-
11.94University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
-
11.36Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
-
8.59Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
7.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
12.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
-
9.02U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
9.2University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
11.74University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
-
11.47University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
-
19.67Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
-
7.45Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Macdonald | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 0.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 0.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 1.0% |
| Michael Grove | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 0.4% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 0.7% |
| Bennett Brainard | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 93.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.