← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Marquette University-0.55+2.20vs Predicted
-
2University of Illinois1.60-0.56vs Predicted
-
3Miami University0.52-0.71vs Predicted
-
4University of Notre Dame-1.43+0.04vs Predicted
-
5University of Illinois-1.33-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.2Marquette University-0.557.8%1st Place
-
1.44University of Illinois1.6065.3%1st Place
-
2.29Miami University0.5220.4%1st Place
-
4.04University of Notre Dame-1.433.5%1st Place
-
4.03University of Illinois-1.333.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etain McKinney | 7.8% | 16.3% | 36.2% | 27.5% | 12.2% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 65.3% | 26.7% | 7.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Katy Schroeder | 20.4% | 43.5% | 24.6% | 9.3% | 2.1% |
| Collin Kemper | 3.5% | 6.5% | 16.0% | 31.0% | 43.1% |
| Katie Benstead | 3.0% | 7.0% | 16.1% | 31.4% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.