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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+6.18vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.18+9.28vs Predicted
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33.24+8.12vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.49+5.81vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+2.92vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.05+5.96vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.04+5.19vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.73+0.52vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.63+0.09vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.05+1.90vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.89vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.79-3.24vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia3.01-0.61vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-1.18vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania3.16-3.68vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.11-4.50vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.95-9.39vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.82-9.61vs Predicted
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19Princeton University-0.81+0.66vs Predicted
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20Dartmouth College4.05-12.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.28Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.123.240.0%1st Place
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9.81George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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11.96SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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12.19University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.52Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.09University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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11.9University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.76Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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12.39University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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12.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.32University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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11.5Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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7.61Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.39Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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19.66Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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7.46Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 0.6% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 0.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 0.9% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 0.6% |
| Michael Grove | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 0.4% |
| Max Neubelt | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 1.2% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 0.6% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 0.5% |
| William Macdonald | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Bennett Brainard | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 93.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.