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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.60+0.43vs Predicted
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2Miami University0.52+0.20vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.55+0.26vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-1.43+0.07vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.33-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43University of Illinois1.6065.0%1st Place
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2.2Miami University0.5223.3%1st Place
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3.26Marquette University-0.556.3%1st Place
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4.07University of Notre Dame-1.433.2%1st Place
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4.04University of Illinois-1.332.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 65.0% | 27.6% | 6.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Katy Schroeder | 23.3% | 43.8% | 23.6% | 8.2% | 1.0% |
| Etain McKinney | 6.3% | 14.8% | 39.0% | 26.7% | 13.3% |
| Collin Kemper | 3.2% | 6.8% | 14.6% | 30.6% | 44.8% |
| Katie Benstead | 2.2% | 7.0% | 16.0% | 33.9% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.