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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+6.68vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.00+9.43vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.29+11.22vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.31+2.01vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.97vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+3.44vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.56+2.19vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.58+1.25vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.98-1.78vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.36-0.14vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.67+1.87vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.87+0.40vs Predicted
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13Harvard University4.17-6.67vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-4.70vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-6.33vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.95-0.63vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.47-3.50vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.36-8.22vs Predicted
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19Boston University3.35-9.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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11.43SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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14.22Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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6.01Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.25Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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7.22Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.86University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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12.87Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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12.4University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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6.33Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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8.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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15.37University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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13.5Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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9.78Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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9.52Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Ted Green | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 21.7% |
| Sean Bouchard | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Edward Glackin | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Colin Smith | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Max Rollins | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.1% |
| John Stokes | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Christina Johns | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 17.0% | 32.7% |
| Amy Baxter | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 14.2% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.